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Mathematical Statistics --- Mathematics --- Physical Sciences & Mathematics --- Regression analysis. --- Robust statistics. --- Statistics, Robust --- Distribution (Probability theory) --- Mathematical statistics --- Analysis, Regression --- Linear regression --- Regression modeling --- Multivariate analysis --- Structural equation modeling
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Learn the art of regression analysis with Python About This Book Become competent at implementing regression analysis in Python Solve some of the complex data science problems related to predicting outcomes Get to grips with various types of regression for effective data analysis Who This Book Is For The book targets Python developers, with a basic understanding of data science, statistics, and math, who want to learn how to do regression analysis on a dataset. It is beneficial if you have some knowledge of statistics and data science. What You Will Learn Format a dataset for regression and evaluate its performance Apply multiple linear regression to real-world problems Learn to classify training points Create an observation matrix, using different techniques of data analysis and cleaning Apply several techniques to decrease (and eventually fix) any overfitting problem Learn to scale linear models to a big dataset and deal with incremental data In Detail Regression is the process of learning relationships between inputs and continuous outputs from example data, which enables predictions for novel inputs. There are many kinds of regression algorithms, and the aim of this book is to explain which is the right one to use for each set of problems and how to prepare real-world data for it. With this book you will learn to define a simple regression problem and evaluate its performance. The book will help you understand how to properly parse a dataset, clean it, and create an output matrix optimally built for regression. You will begin with a simple regression algorithm to solve some data science problems and then progress to more complex algorithms. The book will enable you to use regression models to predict outcomes and take critical business decisions. Through the book, you will gain knowledge to use Python for building fast better linear models and to apply the results in Python or in any computer language you prefer. Style and approach This is a practical tutorial-based book. You will be given an example problem and then supplied with the relevant code and how to walk through it. The details are provided in a step by step manner, followed by a thorough explanation of the math underlying the solution. This approach will help you leverage your own data using the same techniques.
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Although air itinerary demand has been subjected to intensive research for years, few studies specifically analyse the impact on passenger demand of connection time. It is traditionally assumed that passengers prefer to minimise the elapsed time of their trips and hence, connection time. However, it has since been demonstrated that passengers actually avoid short connections. This paper therefore aims at challenging the assumption that passengers want to minimise connection times. A linear regression model describing air itinerary demand is developed to this end. The issue is then analysed in greater depth by adding new dimensions to the discussion. More particularly, the combined impacts on demand of connection time and trip purpose, departure time of day, past flight on-time performance and flight duration are studied. Results suggest that aversion to risk of misconnection and discomfort associated with the necessity to rush imply a lower demand for short connection times. Demand appears to be nonlinear, increasing for additional minutes of connection time above the minimum connection time and decreasing afterwards. Results also indicate that the impact of connection time on demand varies depending on the analysed trip and passenger characteristics. This paper is divided into six parts. It begins with an introduction of the context of the study and the definition of several research questions. An overview of the scientific literature on air itinerary demand is then provided with a focus on connection time analysis. After that, the analytical framework is presented and the methodology followed to build the final linear regression model is detailed. This model is then used to analyse connection time. Results are discussed and interpreted in the fifth chapter and the final chapter, besides summarising key findings and contributions, provides some recommendations based on these findings.
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Distribution (Probability theory) --- Regression analysis. --- Mathematical statistics. --- Regression analysis --- Mathematics --- Statistical inference --- Statistics, Mathematical --- Statistics --- Probabilities --- Sampling (Statistics) --- Analysis, Regression --- Linear regression --- Regression modeling --- Multivariate analysis --- Structural equation modeling --- Distribution functions --- Frequency distribution --- Characteristic functions --- Statistical methods
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Random forest is in many fields of research a common method for data driven predictions. Within economics and prediction of poverty, random forest is rarely used. Comparing out-of-sample predictions in surveys for same year in six countries shows that random forest is often more accurate than current common practice (multiple imputations with variables selected by stepwise and Lasso), suggesting that this method could contribute to better poverty predictions. However, none of the methods consistently provides accurate predictions of poverty over time, highlighting that technical model fitting by any method within a single year is not always, by itself, sufficient for accurate predictions of poverty over time.
Linear Regression Models. --- Machine Learning. --- Macroeconomics and Economic Growth. --- Poverty Monitoring and Analysis. --- Poverty Reduction. --- Poverty. --- Prediction Methods. --- Random Forest. --- Rural Poverty Reduction. --- Science and Technology Development. --- Statistical and Mathematical Sciences. --- Tracking Poverty.
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Mathematical statistics --- #SBIB:303H522 --- #SBIB:303H523 --- #SBIB:303H10 --- Regression analysis. --- Analysis, Regression --- Linear regression --- Regression modeling --- Multivariate analysis --- Structural equation modeling --- Methoden sociale wetenschappen: handboeken statistische analyse --- Methoden sociale wetenschappen: associatie, correlatie --- Methoden en technieken: algemene handboeken en reeksen --- Regression Analysis --- Regression analysis
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This book creates a balance between the theory, practical applications, and computer implementation behind Regression--one of the most widely used techniques in analyzing and solving real world problems. The book begins with a thorough explanation of prerequisite knowledge with a discussion of Simple Regression Analysis including the computer applications. This is followed by Multiple Regression--a widely used tool to predict a response variable using two or more predictors. Since the analyses of regression models involve tedious and complex computations, complete computer analysis including the interpretation of multiple regression problems along with the model adequacy tests and residual analysis using widely used computer software are presented. The use of computers relieves the analyst of tedious, repetitive calculations, and allows one to focus on creating and interpreting successful models. Finally, the book extends the concepts to Regression and Modeling. Different models that provide a good fit to a set of data and provide a good prediction of the response variable are discussed. Among models discussed are the nonlinear, higher order, and interaction models, including models with qualitative variables. Computer analysis and interpretation of computer results are presented with real world applications. We also discuss all subset regression and stepwise regression with applications. Several flow charts are presented to illustrate the concepts. The statistical concepts for regression, computer instructions for the software-- Excel and MINITAB--used in the book and all of the data files used can be downloaded from the website link provided.
Regression analysis --- Data processing. --- coefficient of correlation --- correlation --- dependent variable --- dummy variable --- independent variable --- interaction model --- least squares estimates --- least squares prediction equation --- linear regression --- multiple coefficient of determination --- multiple regression and modeling --- nonlinear models --- regression line --- residual analysis --- scatterplot --- second-order model --- stepwise regression
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This book presents methods for investigating whether relationships are linear or nonlinear and for adaptively fitting appropriate models when they are nonlinear. Data analysts will learn how to incorporate nonlinearity in one or more predictor variables into regression models for different types of outcome variables. Such nonlinear dependence is often not considered in applied research, yet nonlinear relationships are common and so need to be addressed. A standard linear analysis can produce misleading conclusions, while a nonlinear analysis can provide novel insights into data, not otherwise possible. A variety of examples of the benefits of modeling nonlinear relationships are presented throughout the book. Methods are covered using what are called fractional polynomials based on real-valued power transformations of primary predictor variables combined with model selection based on likelihood cross-validation. The book covers how to formulate and conduct such adaptive fractional polynomial modeling in the standard, logistic, and Poisson regression contexts with continuous, discrete, and counts outcomes, respectively, either univariate or multivariate. The book also provides a comparison of adaptive modeling to generalized additive modeling (GAM) and multiple adaptive regression splines (MARS) for univariate outcomes. The authors have created customized SAS macros for use in conducting adaptive regression modeling. These macros and code for conducting the analyses discussed in the book are available through the first author's website and online via the book’s Springer website. Detailed descriptions of how to use these macros and interpret their output appear throughout the book. These methods can be implemented using other programs. Provides insight into modeling of nonlinear relationships and also justifications for when to use them, thereby providing novel insights about relationships Addresses not only adaptive generation of additive models but also of models based on nonlinear interactions Discusses adaptive modeling of variances/dispersions as well as of means Highlights both univariate and multivariate outcomes, rather than solely univariate outcomes.
Statistics. --- Biostatistics. --- Statistics for Life Sciences, Medicine, Health Sciences. --- Statistical Theory and Methods. --- Regression analysis. --- Nonlinear theories. --- Medicine --- Mathematical statistics. --- Research --- Statistical methods. --- Mathematics --- Statistical inference --- Statistics, Mathematical --- Nonlinear problems --- Nonlinearity (Mathematics) --- Analysis, Regression --- Linear regression --- Regression modeling --- Statistical methods --- Statistics --- Probabilities --- Sampling (Statistics) --- Calculus --- Mathematical analysis --- Mathematical physics --- Multivariate analysis --- Structural equation modeling --- Statistical analysis --- Statistical data --- Statistical science --- Econometrics --- Health Workforce --- Statistics . --- Biological statistics --- Biology --- Biometrics (Biology) --- Biostatistics --- Biomathematics
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Structural equation modeling. --- Regression analysis. --- Social sciences --- #SBIB:303H520 --- #SBIB:303H4 --- 681.3*G3 --- Analysis, Regression --- Linear regression --- Regression modeling --- Multivariate analysis --- Structural equation modeling --- SEM (Structural equation modeling) --- Factor analysis --- Regression analysis --- Path analysis (Statistics) --- Statistical methods. --- Methoden sociale wetenschappen: techniek van de analyse, algemeen --- Informatica in de sociale wetenschappen --- Probability and statistics: probabilistic algorithms (including Monte Carlo);random number generation; statistical computing; statistical software (Mathematics of computing) --- 681.3*G3 Probability and statistics: probabilistic algorithms (including Monte Carlo);random number generation; statistical computing; statistical software (Mathematics of computing) --- Regression Analysis --- Statistical methods --- Social sciences - Statistical methods
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